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Risk Disclosure

Important Notice

Trading futures, options on futures, foreign exchange, contracts for difference, securities, and other financial instruments involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every person.

Leveraged trading allows a trader to control a position whose value may be substantially greater than the amount deposited in the trading account. Leverage can magnify both gains and losses. A relatively small market movement may result in a significant gain, a significant loss, the loss of the entire account balance, or, depending on the instrument, broker, account agreement, and market conditions, a loss greater than the amount initially deposited.

Forex trading commonly involves leverage, which can magnify relatively small price movements and can result in the loss of all invested capital or more.

You should not trade with money required for:

  • Housing, food, healthcare, insurance, or other essential expenses
  • Taxes or debt payments
  • Education expenses
  • Retirement needs
  • Emergency savings
  • Short-term financial obligations
  • Maintaining your normal standard of living

Only genuine risk capital should be used for trading.

Risk capital is money that you can afford to lose completely without impairing your financial security, family obligations, retirement plans, or lifestyle.

No Guarantee of Profitability

PredicTrader does not guarantee:

  • Profits
  • A particular rate of return
  • A minimum number of trades
  • A particular win rate
  • Recovery of losses
  • Protection from drawdowns
  • Successful identification of market trends
  • Accurate prediction of future market movements
  • Execution at a particular price
  • Continuous or uninterrupted operation

No trading strategy, automated trading system, algorithm, artificial-intelligence tool, indicator, signal service, or software application can reliably predict all future market movements.

The CFTC has specifically warned that automated algorithms, artificial intelligence, and trading bots cannot predict the future or unexpected market changes, and that promises of guaranteed or unusually high returns are warning signs.

PredicTrader may generate losing trades, consecutive losses, substantial drawdowns, or periods in which market behavior does not fit the system’s rules.

Past success under one set of market conditions does not establish that the same settings or methods will succeed under future conditions.

PredicTrader Is a Software Tool

PredicTrader is software designed to assist users with market monitoring, rule-based trade identification, order automation, and trade management.

PredicTrader is not:

  • A guarantee of investment success
  • A substitute for user supervision
  • A savings account or insured financial product
  • An exchange, clearinghouse, or futures commission merchant
  • A brokerage account
  • A custodian of customer funds
  • A guarantee that broker orders will be accepted or filled
  • A substitute for advice from a qualified financial, tax, legal, or accounting professional

PredicTrader does not take possession of customer trading funds. Trading accounts and funds remain with the user’s selected broker, futures commission merchant, or other financial-services provider.

PredicTrader does not control the user’s broker, exchange, data provider, internet provider, computer, operating system, or NinjaTrader platform.

Optional registration statement

The following should be added only after legal counsel confirms that it is accurate:

Pricellator LLC is not registered as a commodity trading advisor, investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or financial planner. PredicTrader does not provide individualized investment advice or manage customer accounts.

Do not publish this statement without confirming the company’s actual registration and exemption status.

No Personalized Financial Advice

Information provided through PredicTrader, PredicTrader.com, documentation, demonstrations, emails, videos, webinars, support communications, sample settings, or educational materials is general in nature.

It is not based on a complete review of any user’s:

  • Financial situation
  • Income
  • Assets
  • Debts
  • Tax position
  • Investment objectives
  • Trading experience
  • Risk tolerance
  • Age
  • Retirement needs
  • Liquidity requirements
  • Legal circumstances

Nothing on the website or in the software should be interpreted as a personalized recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or trade any particular instrument.

Users are responsible for deciding whether trading, a particular instrument, and a particular PredicTrader configuration are appropriate for them.

User Responsibility

The user retains full responsibility for all trading decisions and account activity, including decisions to:

  • Install or use PredicTrader
  • Enable automated trading
  • Select simulation or live trading
  • Select an account
  • Select an instrument and contract month
  • Select a chart timeframe
  • Set contract quantity
  • Configure stop losses and profit targets
  • Change entry or filter settings
  • Enable long or short trading
  • Accept or reject a trade
  • Disable the strategy
  • Cancel orders
  • Close or flatten a position
  • Continue trading after losses
  • Monitor the software and brokerage account

The fact that PredicTrader can submit and manage orders automatically does not transfer responsibility for the account to PredicTrader, Pricellator LLC, its owners, developers, contractors, affiliates, or service providers.

Users must independently verify:

  • The correct trading account is selected
  • The correct instrument is selected
  • The correct contract month is loaded
  • The intended quantity is configured
  • The strategy is enabled only when intended
  • Protective orders are present and working
  • Duplicate strategy instances are not active
  • Existing positions and orders are understood
  • The platform remains connected
  • The broker has accepted each order

Simulation-First Requirement

Users should begin with a simulation account and remain in simulation until they understand:

  • How PredicTrader generates signals
  • How filters block trades
  • How orders are submitted
  • How stop-loss and profit-target orders behave
  • How the strategy responds to disconnections
  • How to disable the strategy
  • How to cancel orders
  • How to flatten an account
  • How different instruments and timeframes affect results
  • How commissions, slippage, spreads, and execution affect performance

Default settings are provided only as starting points. They may not be appropriate for every instrument, timeframe, account size, market condition, or user.

Successful simulation results do not establish that similar results will occur in live trading.

Automated Trading Risks

Automated trading introduces risks in addition to ordinary market risk.

These risks include:

  • Software defects
  • Programming errors
  • Incorrect user settings
  • Duplicate orders
  • Delayed orders
  • Rejected orders
  • Partial fills
  • Incorrect position information
  • Delayed market data
  • Missing data
  • Erroneous data
  • Platform freezes
  • Computer failure
  • Power failure
  • Internet interruption
  • Broker connection failure
  • Exchange interruption
  • Application crashes
  • Operating-system updates
  • Security-software interference
  • Incompatible software updates
  • Unanticipated interaction with other indicators, add-ons, or strategies
  • Orders remaining active after the strategy is disabled
  • Positions remaining open after software or connection failure

Automated systems may enter or manage trades faster than a user can manually respond. An error may therefore create multiple or unintended orders in a short period.

Users should not assume that an automated strategy can be left running indefinitely without supervision.

The CFTC has recognized that automated trading can create operational and market risks requiring appropriate controls and safeguards.

Platform and Third-Party Risks

PredicTrader operates in conjunction with third-party products and services, which may include:

  • NinjaTrader
  • Brokerage firms
  • Futures commission merchants
  • Exchanges
  • Clearing firms
  • Market-data providers
  • Internet-service providers
  • Computer hardware
  • Operating systems
  • Email providers
  • Payment processors
  • Licensing services
  • PredicTrader and Pricellator LLC do not control these third parties and are not responsible for their:
  • Availability
  • Performance
  • Pricing
  • Security
  • Order-routing decisions
  • Data accuracy
  • Maintenance
  • Updates
  • Outages
  • Business practices
  • Account restrictions
  • Margin requirements
  • Liquidation decisions

A third-party update may alter, restrict, or interrupt PredicTrader’s operation.

Users are responsible for reviewing and complying with all broker, platform, exchange, data-provider, and account rules.

Order Execution and Slippage

A signal generated by PredicTrader does not guarantee that an order will be:

  • Submitted
  • Accepted
  • Filled
  • Filled completely
  • Filled at the displayed price
  • Filled before market conditions change
  • Filled before a stop or target is reached
  • Cancelled when requested

Market orders prioritize execution, not price. The actual execution price may differ from the price displayed when an order is generated.

Actual results may be affected by:

  • Bid-ask spreads
  • Slippage
  • Latency
  • Liquidity
  • Volatility
  • Market gaps
  • Fast markets
  • Partial fills
  • Requotes
  • Order rejections
  • Exchange halts
  • Price limits
  • Broker risk controls
  • Margin requirements
  • Commissions and fees

During rapidly moving markets, losses may exceed the intended stop-loss amount.

Stop-Loss Limitations

A stop-loss order is intended to limit risk, but it cannot guarantee the amount of the loss.

Once triggered, a stop order may become a market order and may execute at a price materially different from the stop price.

A stop may fail to protect the user as expected because of:

  • Market gaps
  • Insufficient liquidity
  • Trading halts
  • Price limits
  • Platform failure
  • Connection loss
  • Order rejection
  • Broker liquidation
  • Rapid price changes
  • Incorrect configuration

No user should interpret a configured stop loss as a guarantee that losses cannot exceed a predetermined amount.

Margin and Liquidation Risk

Brokers may change margin requirements without advance notice, particularly during volatile markets or near contract expiration.

If account equity falls below required levels, the broker may:

  • Reject new orders
  • Cancel working orders
  • Liquidate positions
  • Restrict the account
  • Require additional deposits
  • Close positions without consulting the user

PredicTrader cannot prevent or control broker liquidation actions.

Market-Condition Risk

PredicTrader is based on programmed rules. No fixed rule set performs equally well in every market environment.

Performance may change significantly during:

  • Trending markets
  • Sideways markets
  • Low-volatility periods
  • High-volatility periods
  • Economic announcements
  • Federal Reserve announcements
  • Employment reports
  • Inflation reports
  • Contract rollovers
  • Holidays
  • Overnight sessions
  • Thin markets
  • Geopolitical events
  • Unexpected news
  • Exchange disruptions

Filters intended to reduce undesirable trades may also block profitable trades. Filters do not eliminate losses.

Settings and Optimization Risk

Changing PredicTrader’s settings can materially alter:

  • Trade frequency
  • Entry timing
  • Exit timing
  • Average loss
  • Average profit
  • Drawdown
  • Exposure
  • Risk per trade
  • Overall performance

A setting that appears effective during a particular historical period may perform poorly in another period.

Users should not assume that:

  • More optimization produces better future results
  • The best historical setting is the best live setting
  • A profitable timeframe will remain profitable
  • Settings for one instrument will work on another instrument

Over-optimization, curve-fitting, and selection bias can create historical results that are unlikely to be repeated.

Hypothetical, Simulated, and Backtested Performance Disclosure

Required Caution

Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations.

Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Because the trades were not executed, the results may have undercompensated or overcompensated for the effects of market factors such as lack of liquidity, slippage, spreads, latency, partial fills, rejected orders, commissions, and changing margin requirements.

Simulated trading programs are generally designed with the benefit of hindsight.

No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

The ability to withstand losses, continue following a trading system during a drawdown, or maintain sufficient capital can materially affect actual results in ways that a hypothetical record cannot fully reflect. These limitations are specifically recognized in NFA’s required hypothetical-performance disclosure.

CFTC/NFA-Style Hypothetical Disclosure

Where PredicTrader displays hypothetical, simulated, optimized, or backtested results, the following disclosure should appear prominently and in immediate proximity to those results:

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, BECAUSE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDERCOMPENSATED OR OVERCOMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

NFA guidance states that a hypothetical-performance disclaimer should be displayed as prominently as the hypothetical results themselves. A disclosure hidden only on a separate risk page may be insufficient when hypothetical results appear elsewhere.

Backtesting Limitations

Backtest results may differ materially from live results because of:

  • Incomplete historical data
  • Incorrect historical data
  • Data-feed differences
  • Bid/ask differences
  • Bar-construction differences
  • Intrabar sequencing assumptions
  • Fill-model assumptions
  • Commission assumptions
  • Slippage assumptions
  • Contract rollover methodology
  • Optimization bias
  • Look-ahead bias
  • Survivorship bias
  • Parameter selection
  • Time-zone differences
  • Session-template differences
  • Changes in exchange rules
  • Changes in market structure

Results generated by NinjaTrader Strategy Analyzer, Market Replay, Playback, simulation, or another testing environment should be treated as hypothetical unless they represent verified live brokerage activity.

Simulated Trading Limitations

Simulation accounts may:

  • Provide more favorable fills
  • Ignore or simplify queue position
  • Handle partial fills differently
  • Use different latency
  • Use assumed liquidity
  • Omit certain broker restrictions
  • Treat rejected orders differently
  • Exclude real emotional and financial pressure

A strategy that performs profitably in simulation may lose money in live trading.

Performance Screenshots and Examples

Any chart, screenshot, statement, trade example, P&L display, testimonial, demonstration, webinar, video, email, social-media post, or website illustration may represent:

  • A hypothetical result
  • A simulated result
  • A selected example
  • A historical period
  • A demonstration account
  • A specific instrument or setting
  • A result that may not be typical

Unless expressly identified as verified live performance, users should not assume that a displayed result reflects actual trading with real money.

Screenshots may be selected to explain software functionality and should not be interpreted as a promise, forecast, or representation of expected performance.

Past Performance

Past performance, whether actual, simulated, or hypothetical, is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Markets change. Strategy performance can deteriorate or cease to be profitable.

No historical winning percentage, profit factor, drawdown, net profit, or other performance measurement guarantees a similar future outcome.

Testimonials and User Statements

Testimonials, reviews, case studies, and statements from users reflect individual experiences and may not represent the experience of all users.

A user’s result may depend on:

  • Settings
  • Instrument
  • Timeframe
  • Contract quantity
  • Account size
  • Broker
  • Market conditions
  • Trading hours
  • Execution quality
  • User intervention
  • Risk tolerance
  • Experience

Testimonials should not be interpreted as a guarantee, prediction, or typical result.

Where compensation, discounts, affiliate commissions, free subscriptions, or other incentives are provided in connection with a testimonial or endorsement, that relationship should be clearly disclosed.

CFTC rules governing promotional materials restrict misleading testimonials and require appropriate disclosures.

Educational Content and Demonstrations

PredicTrader demonstrations, webinars, Zoom sessions, user guides, support communications, and educational materials are intended to explain software features and general trading concepts.

They do not establish:

  • A fiduciary relationship
  • A customer-adviser relationship
  • An agreement to monitor the user’s account
  • An obligation to recommend particular settings
  • An obligation to warn the user of every market risk
  • An obligation to intervene in an open trade

Examples discussed in educational material are illustrative and may omit factors that would affect actual results.

No Reliance on Marketing Statements

Users should not rely on slogans, headlines, advertisements, short-form descriptions, or promotional summaries as a complete explanation of the risks or operation of PredicTrader.

Users should review:

  • The complete User Guide
  • This Risk Disclosure
  • The Terms of Service
  • The Privacy Policy
  • Broker disclosures
  • NinjaTrader documentation
  • Exchange and regulatory disclosures

before enabling automated trading.

Independent Professional Advice

Before trading, users should consider consulting:

  • A qualified financial professional
  • A registered commodity trading advisor, where appropriate
  • A tax professional
  • An attorney
  • An accountant

PredicTrader does not provide tax or legal advice.

Trading profits and losses may have significant tax consequences. Tax treatment varies by instrument, account type, jurisdiction, and individual circumstances.

Eligibility and Legal Restrictions

Users are responsible for determining whether the purchase, installation, possession, or use of PredicTrader is lawful in their jurisdiction.

PredicTrader should not be used:

  • By persons prohibited from trading
  • In jurisdictions where its use is restricted
  • In violation of broker rules
  • In violation of exchange rules
  • In violation of funded-account or evaluation-program rules
  • By anyone who lacks legal capacity to enter financial transactions

Availability of the software does not constitute a representation that it is lawful or appropriate in every jurisdiction.

Limitation of Responsibility

To the maximum extent permitted by applicable law, the user assumes the risks associated with:

  • Trading decisions
  • Software configuration
  • Account selection
  • Position sizing
  • Broker selection
  • Platform operation
  • Internet connectivity
  • Market-data accuracy
  • Automated order submission
  • Failure to monitor the account
  • Failure to disable the system
  • Failure to close positions or cancel orders

PredicTrader and Pricellator LLC do not warrant that the software will be uninterrupted, error-free, compatible with every configuration, or suitable for a particular trading objective.

Nothing in this disclosure excludes or limits liability that cannot legally be excluded or limited under applicable law.

Detailed warranty disclaimers, liability limitations, dispute-resolution provisions, and indemnification terms should also appear in the website’s formal Terms of Service, drafted or reviewed by qualified counsel.

Acknowledgment

By downloading, installing, accessing, enabling, or using PredicTrader, the user acknowledges that:

Trading involves a substantial risk of loss.

The user may lose all or more than the initial investment.

PredicTrader does not guarantee profitability.

Automated trading creates additional operational and technological risks.

Stop losses cannot guarantee the amount of a loss.

Simulated and hypothetical results may differ materially from live results.

Default settings may not be appropriate for the user.

The user is solely responsible for account selection, settings, position sizing, supervision, and trading decisions.

PredicTrader does not replace professional financial, legal, accounting, or tax advice.

The user has reviewed and accepts the Risk Disclosure and Terms of Service.

  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy
  • Refund & Cancellation Policy
  • Risk Disclosure
  • Partner Program Agreement

Risk Disclosure

Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.

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